Hurricane Bertha highlights challenge in forecasting
In the National Hurricane Center’s Discussion #19 on now-Hurricane Bertha the Forecaster Rhome states:
“BERTHA’S INTENSIFICATION TO MAJOR HURRICANE TODAY HIGHLIGHTS THE DIFFICULTIES OF FORECASTING RAPID INTENSITY CHANGES.”
I wonder if this difficulty will ever go away through sheer computing power, or if something a bit more human is required. Could human-consensus forecasting address this weakness? Still unproven, but it seems worth a shot.
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