Hurricane Bertha highlights challenge in forecasting

In the National Hurricane Center’s Discussion #19 on now-Hurricane Bertha the Forecaster Rhome states:

“BERTHA’S INTENSIFICATION TO MAJOR HURRICANE TODAY HIGHLIGHTS THE DIFFICULTIES OF FORECASTING RAPID INTENSITY CHANGES.”

I wonder if this difficulty will ever go away through sheer computing power, or if something a bit more human is required. Could human-consensus forecasting address this weakness? Still unproven, but it seems worth a shot.

Advertisements

1 comment so far

  1. Bookmarks about Forecasting on

    […] – bookmarked by 1 members originally found by juicelayer on 2008-08-15 Hurricane Bertha highlights difficulties in forecasting […]


Comments are closed.

%d bloggers like this: